Don’t trust those numbers

There have been a rash of “happy” polls out this year from groups with suspect methods, claiming that Republicans are running away with races this fall. While things are good, they might not be quite as good as some of these groups would have us believe. Rasmussen has been a leading provider in these suspect numbers and the folks over at pollster.com take them to task for it.

I don’t know that I necessarily agreed with their conclusion about why Rasmussen’s numbers are always off, but it’s a very interesting read either way. While Rasmussen’s methodology is surely a problem, I’ve been seeing strange numbers like this from Robo-poll companies around the country. We’ve been led by Rassmussen and other robo poll companies to believe their product is as reliable as live calls. Instead I’ve found them to be wildly inaccurate, but I guess that is a discussion for another day. Either way, be very wary of some of the polls that are being pushed around out there as gospel, they are leading a lot of people in the wrong direction.

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